Training Science · Impulse-Response ModelFitness & Fatigue Balance · Year-Round Trend

Training Load and TSB Modeler

WattsUP continuously models Chronic Training Load (CTL), Acute Training Load (ATL), and Training Stress Balance (TSB) across your indoor sessions and outdoor rides. Discover how to balance overload and recovery using safe CTL ramp rates.

Season Load Scenarios
● Productive Fatigue (TSB -14)Progressive overload phase. High training volume driving upward fitness growth.

Fatigue is elevated but productive. Plan a recovery week within 10 days to consolidate gains.

Fitness (CTL)76
Fatigue (ATL)90
Form (TSB)-14

12-Week Impulse-Response Load Curve

Hover over weeks to inspect Fitness (CTL, 42-day rolling), Fatigue (ATL, 7-day rolling), and Form (TSB).
Fitness (CTL)Fatigue (ATL)Form (TSB)
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W12 (Now)
84-Day Ride Activity Heatmap

Consistent miles compound into season peaks.

Every pedal stroke imported from Garmin, Wahoo, or Strava maps into your personal Sun Log grid.

The Banister impulse-response model in practice

Chronic Training Load (CTL): Your Engine Size

CTL tracks your accumulated cardiovascular and muscular conditioning using a 42-day rolling exponentially weighted average. A weekend rider typically sits at a CTL of 40–50, while competitive amateurs prepare for target Gran Fondos at 80–110.

Read our complete scientific breakdown on how CTL, ATL, and TSB interact.

Acute Training Load (ATL): Managing Fatigue

Using a 7-day decay rate, ATL reflects your immediate physiological exhaustion. A massive weekend training camp spikes ATL rapidly, temporarily depressing your ability to express raw threshold power.

Balancing ATL through structured 3:1 build-to-recovery blocks prevents overtraining syndrome, hormonal depletion, and musculoskeletal overuse injuries.

Training Stress Balance (TSB): Timing Race Day Form

TSB is the simple difference: CTL minus ATL. When TSB is negative (−10 to −25), your body is in a state of productive training adaptation. When TSB rebounds into positive territory (+10 to +25) after a taper, you reach peak race day form.

Simulate different weekly build rates and discover your personal limit in our safe CTL ramp rates guide.

Related Tools & Training Guides

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CTL Ramp Rate Guide

Learn how much weekly fitness you can safely build before fatigue causes injury or illness.

Read Guide →